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LootCalc

Scenario math, not hidden account data

Destiny 2 Raid Drop Scenario Tools

Bungie does not publish one base rate and bad-luck curve that applies to every raid Exotic. These tools keep the target label separate from the probability inputs so a community estimate cannot silently become an official-looking preset.

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Drop-Rate Scenario Calculator

Enter the rate, future eligible attempts, and an optional hypothetical increase; no weapon odds are preloaded.

Eligible-Attempt Guide

Separate activity history from confirmed reward chances and record the source behind each scenario input.

What Bungie has documented

Bungie documented account-wide weekly bad-luck protection for Eyes of Tomorrow and said the design can eventually guarantee a drop. The article explains how weekly progress is shared across characters, but it does not disclose a percentage function that can be copied into a general raid calculator.

Read Bungie's Eyes of Tomorrow explanation.

What remains an input

If a value cannot be sourced, use the calculator to explore it as a hypothetical scenario—not as a prediction of the hidden server-side rate.

Correction history

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